Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs Odds, Picks & Lines for Week 16

Nov 26, 2023; Paradise, Nevada, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) carries the ball against the Las Vegas Raiders in the second half at Allegiant Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY SportsThe Kansas City Chiefs are 10-point home favorites over the Las Vegas Raiders in the Christmas Day game between these AFC West rivalsKansas City is 6-0 SU in the last six games facing Las Vegas. The Raiders are 1-9 SU in their last 10 road games against the ChiefsGet all of the Las Vegas vs Kansas City odds and our top Raiders vs Chiefs picks against the spread here

The Kansas City Chiefs (9-5, 7-6-1 ATS) and Las Vegas Raiders (6-8, 7-5-2 ATS) are the bitterest of rivals going back to their AFL days. However, truth be told, it hasn’t been much of a rivalry of late and the Raiders vs Chiefs odds prove it.

As they meet in Week 16 of the NFL schedule, the Chiefs are 6-0 straight up in the last six games against Las Vegas. Kansas City is also 9-1 SU at home in the last 10 meetings with the Raiders.

Factoring in the spread, it’s also a lopsided affair. Overall, KC is 10-5 ATS in the last 15 games against Las Vegas. At home, the Chiefs are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 games facing the Raiders.

No wonder then that Kansas City is the 10-point home chalk in the Chiefs vs Raiders odds.

Raiders vs Chiefs Odds

In the Las Vegas vs Kansas City odds, the Chiefs are -500 moneyline favorites, giving them an 83.33% implied win probability. The total is set at 40.5 points. That’s the lowest total for a Raiders vs Chiefs game since it was set at 36 points in 2009.

ESPN BET

Get a $1,000 Bet Reset, 50 Free Bonus Spins, and 24-Hour InsuranceMust manually enter promo code DIME to claim offer.

LOCK IN PROMOCODE: DIMECODE: DIMESIGNUP OFFERUSE PROMO CODEDIME

FIRST BET RESET UP TO $1,000

GET OFFER NOW

Odds as of Dec. 22 at ESPN BET. Check out our ESPN BET promo before betting on Raiders vs Chiefs and other Week 16 NFL action. And don’t forget to input the promo code “DIME” when signing up at ESPN BET to get your $250 in bonus bets by betting just $10 on any game.

Kickoff for this game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday, December 25, is set for 1:00 pm ET. The broadcast is being carried by CBS.

Las Vegas vs Kansas City Betting Trends

In the NFL public betting splits at the time of writing, Kansas City is getting 55% of spread handle and 94% of moneyline handle. The Raiders are 4-1-1 ATS over their last six games, but they are 1-4 ATS in the last five contests against the Chiefs. Kansas City is 1-3-1 ATS in the past five games.

The Chiefs are 15-5 SU in their last 20 games and 13-2 SU in their last 15 when facing an AFC opponent. Las Vegas is 0-5 SU in the club’s past five road games.

Nine of the Raiders’ last 12 games have gone under, as have seven of the Chiefs’ past 10 games and each of their past five home games. On the other hand, six of the last seven Las Vegas vs Kansas City games went over.

Kansas City is the second betting choice to win the AFC in the NFL Conference odds at +275. The Raiders are set with second-worst odds of +50000 to wear the crown as AFC champions.

2024 – 2025 NFL Divisional Odds TrackerRead More

Raiders Coming Off Historic Win

In last week’s 63-21 rout of the Los Angeles Chargers, the Raiders established a franchise record for points scored in a game. To say that productivity came out of nowhere would be an understatement. Prior to that Week 15 win on TNF, Las Vegas had managed to score more than 20 points just twice all season.

Air it out Aidan O’Connell 🏈#RaiderNation pic.twitter.com/w62W6zzQ4M

— Las Vegas Raiders (@Raiders) December 19, 2023

Raiders QB Aidan O’Connell threw for four TDs in that game. That gives him eight TD passes on the season against his seven interceptions.

Chiefs’ Mahomes Is Money vs Las Vegas

Perhaps the best bet of the week is to take the Chiefs and QB Patrick Mahomes over Las Vegas. Since Mahomes took over as KC’s QB1 in 2018, he’s owned the Raiders.

Patrick Mahomes in his career vs the Raiders:

10-1 W-L67 comp%304 pass ypg8.3 Y/A31 total TDs3 INTs114 QB Rating pic.twitter.com/hbmyx9xi1b

— 🗣🎙‼️ (@LanceTHESPOKEN) December 20, 2023

Kansas City is 10-1 SU and 7-4 ATS against Las Vegas over that span. The Chiefs have never scored fewer than 28 points in any game against the Raiders with Mahomes under center. According to research compiled by the NFL, the Chiefs are the first team in league history to score 28 or more points in 11 straight games against another team.

As a double-digit favorite at home against Las Vegas with Mahomes at QB, the Chiefs are 3-1 SU and ATS.

Raiders vs Chiefs Prediction

When these two teams met in November, the Raiders led early by as much as 14 points before falling 31-17. Las Vegas RB Josh Jacobs went over 100 yards in that game. He’s unlikely to play in this game due to a quad injury.

You might think 10 points are a lot to lay. However, Kansas City is 2-0 ATS this season when a home favorite of 10+ points.

Raiders vs Chiefs Picks: Kansas City Chiefs -10 (-115)