Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Odds & Player Props to Bet

Apr 21, 2023; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Timberwolves guard Anthony Edwards (1) goes to the basket as Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic (15) defends during the fourth quarter of game three of the 2023 NBA Playoffs at Target Center. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY SportsThe Denver Nuggets battle the Minnesota Timberwolves on Tuesday nightThe Tuesday NBA odds favor the Nuggets on the road at Target CenterRead below for Nuggets vs Timberwolves prediction, odds, and player props

The surging Minnesota Timberwolves will go for their fourth straight victory when they host the Denver Nuggets on Tuesday night. Tip-off is set for 9:00 PM ET at Target Center in Minneapolis.

According to the odds on Tuesday’s NBA game, Denver is favored to prevail on the road. The Nuggets are a 7.5-point spread favorite, while the over/under is offered at 213.5. NBA player props are also available, with Anthony Edwards boasting the highest total.

Let’s delve into our Nuggets vs Timberwolves prediction, as we analyze the odds and offer player props to bet.

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Odds

In the Nuggets vs Timberwolves odds, Denver is a -320 favorite on the moneyline, giving them 76% implied win probability.

Minnesota won the first matchup 110-89 on Nov. 1 on its home court. Edwards led the Timberwolves with 24 points on 8-for-16 shooting, and Mike Conley chipped in 17 points on 7-for-9 shooting.

Both teams are battling with the Oklahoma City Thunder (47-20) for the top seed in the Western Conference NBA Playoff Bracket.

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Odds as of March 19, 2024, at Caesars Sportsbook. Claim the Caesars promo code to bet on Nuggets vs Timberwolves tonight. Bettors in NC can claim the Caesars Sportsbook North Carolina promo.

Denver Nuggets Betting Analysis

Denver comes into this Tuesday NBA matchup boasting a stellar 8-2 record in their past 10 contests. However, the team suffered a heartbreaking 107-105 loss at the buzzer to the Dallas Mavericks on Sunday. The Mavs outrebounded the Nuggets 60-37 on the night.

Denver is led by NBA MVP odds contender Nikola Jokic, who averages 25.9 points, 12.2 rebounds, and 9.1 assists this season. Jamal Murray is next on the scoring list with 20.9 points per game, while Michael Porter Jr. averages 16.7.

The Nuggets rank top-15 in both points per game and points allowed per game but are struggling from the free-throw line. Denver is making just 76.18% of their throws from the charity stripe, ranking them in the bottom 10 of the NBA.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Analysis

The Timberwolves enter Tuesday’s game boasting a 6-4 record in their past 10 contests, including a current four-game winning streak. They are playing for the second straight night after winning 114-104 over the Utah Jazz in Salt Lake City on Monday.

The Timberwolves erased a 16-point deficit in that Monday night game, with Anthony Edwards putting on a show. Known as “Ant-Man,” the 22-year-old small forward put up a team-high 32 points on Monday, including a highlight-reel dunk over the head of Jazz defender John Collins.

ANTHONY EDWARDS MY GOODNESS.

pic.twitter.com/pLr5Rze4mF

— Hoop Central (@TheHoopCentral) March 19, 2024

Edwards has stepped up with Karl-Anthony Towns (knee) and Rudy Gobert (rib), both sidelined by injury. Naz Reid exited Monday’s contest with a head injury and is listed as questionable for Tuesday’s game.

The Timberwolves have the best defense in the NBA this season, allowing just 106.6 points per game. They only rank 19th in points scored per contest (113.3), but their 38.65% field goal percentage is fourth-best among all 32 teams.

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Nuggets vs Timberwolves Player Props

Nuggets vs Timberwolves props are readily available at NBA betting apps. Anthony Edwards has the highest point projection on the board at 28.5 points, despite ESPN analysis Stephen A Smith predicting Jokic will dominate Ant-Man tonight.

Player	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Three-Pointers Made
Anthony Edwards	28.5 (Ov -108 | Un -127)	6.5 (Ov +110 | Un -151)	4.5 (Ov -108 | Un -127)	2.5 (Ov +108 | Un -148)
Nikola Jokic	25.5 (Ov -127 | Un -108)	13.5 (Ov -103 | Un -133)	8.5 (Ov +106 | Un -145)	0.5 (Ov -224 | Un +159)
Jamal Murray	20.5 (Ov -145 | Un +106)	4.5 (Ov +110 | Un -151)	6.5 (Ov -151 | Un +110)	1.5 (Ov -179 | Un +129)
Michael Porter Jr.	16.5 (Ov -113 | Un -121)	6.5 (Ov -129 | Un -106)	1.5 (Ov +123 | Un -169)	2.5 (Ov -127 | Un -108)
Rudy Gobert	13.5 (Ov -133 | Un -103)	13.5 (Ov -103 | Un -133)	1.5 (Ov +159 | Un -224)	OFF
Aaron Gordon	12.5 (Ov -133 | Un -103)	6.5 (Ov +104 | Un -142)	2.5 (Ov -179 | Un +129)	0.5 (Ov +104 | Un -142)
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	8.5 (Ov -127 | Un -108)	2.5 (Ov +104 | Un -142)	1.5 (Ov -157 | Un +114)	1.5 (Ov +129 | Un -179)
Christian Braun	OFF	3.5 (Ov +110 | Un -151)	OFF	0.5 (Ov -111 | Un -123)
Peyton Watson	OFF	3.5 (Ov +120 | Un -166)	OFF	0.5 (Ov -108 | Un -127)
Reggie Jackson	OFF	OFF	OFF	0.5 (Ov -145 | Un +106)

In the Nuggets vs Timberwolves player props, we would like to target Jokic if Gobert sits on Tuesday. “Joker” has averaged just 20 points in his previous three games, but he will face very little resistance down low if Gobert sits.

Jokic uncharacteristically shot 37.5% from the field in Sunday’s loss to the Mavs, making his props slightly lower than they should be. On the season, Joker is shooting 58.1% from the field and averaging 26 points per contest. This is a prime bounce-back spot against the Wolves.

Jokic averaged 26.2 points against Minnesota in last year’s first-round series, and Minnesota has also allowed 23 points per game to centers over the last 15 games. Bet the over on Jokic’s point total in the NBA player props.

Denver vs Minnesota Prop Pick: 

Nikola Jokic Over 25.5 Points

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

Can Minnesota extend its winning streak to four games against Nikola Jokic and the defending champs? The Timberwolves successfully navigated a long road trip hampered by injuries and now return to Minneapolis to begin a four-game homestand.

Minnesota’s 23-8 record at Target Center is notable, but the Nuggets are also a decent 20-15 away from their home court. Here are some betting trends to keep in mind before making your Nuggets vs Wolves prediction:

Denver is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games.The Timberwolves are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games.The Timberwolves are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as a home favorite.

We like Denver to prevail on the road, but eight points is a lot against a surging Timberwolves squad. Instead, we’re looking at the game total. Over the last 10 games, the Timberwolves rank 22nd in pace, and the Nuggets rank 17th, indicating neither team is playing at a fast pace.

According to the NBA’s advanced stats, both clubs rank in the top 10 in defensive efficiency over their past 10 games. Minnesota’s scoring will dry up against this elite Denver squad, and the two teams will fall under the posted number.

DEN vs MIN Pick:

Under 213.5 Points (-110)

 

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